Tuesday, February 2, 2010

The Avatar Effect (The Oscar Noms Are In!)

Avatar looks poised to win big at the Oscars, picking up nine nominations — including one of the ten Best Picture noms, and one for James Cameron for Best Director.  The Iraq war drama The Hurt Locker also picked up nine nominations.

First off, if I'm a betting man, it's hard to pick against Avatar.  After winning the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Drama, the film's all but a lock for the Best Picture nod.  I won't call it an official prediction yet (I'll make those later — I haven't seen all the nominees yet), but I would not be surprised if Avatar made a clean sweep of their nominations.  This film looks, walks, and quacks like a Titanic, just as everyone wanted it to.

The biggest loser in this Titanic-like Avatar Effect is probably The Hurt Locker.  Learn a lesson from Good Will Hunting, which went into the 1997 Oscars with (hmm...) nine nominations.  You want to know how many statuettes the movie left with?  Two.  Why?  Yep — Titanic.  Good Will was pitted against Titanic in almost every category, and only in the categories where Titanic wasn't nominated did it win.

Now, in fairness to Hurt Locker, I use the word "loser" here pretty loosely.  The film was not really well-known and didn't have a wide release.  Picking up those nine nominations is NOT a testament to how weak a year this has been, but to how powerful it is.  It's easy to placate those films with a few easy nominations, maybe a Best Director nom, and call it a day.  This film really earned all nine of its nominations.

A few surprises, which I'll list for the sake of brevity:

Matt Damon, up for Best Supporting for Invictus, a role where he played a remarkable piece of furniture, but wasn't really given much to do in the script... 

The Blind Side getting a Best Picture nomination, so I guess I have to see it now — welcome to the age of 10 BP nom's...

BOTH Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick up for Best Supporting for Up in the Air — a film for which their co-star George Clooney has a good chance to pick up an Oscar for Best Actor... 

Star Trek snubbed from the Best Picture nominee list — Wasn't the whole idea of having ten nominees to get a summer blockbuster on the list???...

That's all for now — predictions forthcoming!  I have some films to watch... 

 

Posted via web from @kystokes

Untitled

Avatar looks poised to win big at the Oscars, picking up nine nominations — including one of the ten Best Picture noms, and one for James Cameron for Best Director.  The Iraq war drama The Hurt Locker also picked up nine nominations.

First off, if I'm a betting man, it's hard to pick against Avatar.  After winning the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Drama, the film's all but a lock for the Best Picture nod.  I won't call it an official prediction yet (I'll make those later — I haven't seen all the nominees yet), but I would not be surprised if Avatar made a clean sweep of their nominations.  This film looks, walks, and quacks like a Titanic, just as everyone wanted it to.

The biggest loser in this Titanic-like Avatar Effect is probably The Hurt Locker.  Learn a lesson from Good Will Hunting, which went into the 1997 Oscars with (hmm...) nine nominations.  You want to know how many statuettes the movie left with?  Two.  Why?  Yep — Titanic.  Good Will was pitted against Titanic in almost every category, and only in the categories where Titanic wasn't nominated did it win.

Now, in fairness to Hurt Locker, I use the word "loser" here pretty loosely.  The film was not really well-known and didn't have a wide release.  Picking up those nine nominations is NOT a testament to how weak a year this has been, but to how powerful it is.  It's easy to placate those films with a few easy nominations, maybe a Best Director nom, and call it a day.  This film really earned all nine of its nominations.

A few surprises, which I'll list for the sake of brevity:

Matt Damon, up for Best Supporting for Invictus, a role where he played a remarkable piece of furniture, but wasn't really given much to do in the script... 

The Blind Side getting a Best Picture nomination, so I guess I have to see it now — welcome to the age of 10 BP nom's...

BOTH Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick up for Best Supporting for Up in the Air — a film for which their co-star George Clooney has a good chance to pick up an Oscar for Best Actor... 

Star Trek snubbed from the Best Picture nominee list — Wasn't the whole idea of having ten nominees to get a summer blockbuster on the list???...

That's all for now — predictions forthcoming!  I have some films to watch... 

Posted via web from @kystokes

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Vikings Stadium Debate Begins Anew

The Minneapolis Star Tribune has fired the first shot of the Vikings stadium debate. The editorial board declined to take a position in the debate, instead chastising Vikes owner Zygi Wilf for shooting too low and asking Minnesota politicians to "treat the state's taxpayers like the intelligent adults they are."

Both editorial claims seem, frankly, ridiculous. Wilf is not shooting too low — in fact, he's just about right.  He's offering to pay 24 percent of the new stadium's projected costs.  Owners these days are paying about 30 percent of new stadium costs.  Public financing is the rule in today's stadium-finance world, not the exception.**  And lawmakers have treated taxpayers like adults, telling them in a very upfront manner that a projected $1.2 billion deficit makes it difficult to talk about stadium financing.

I don't claim to have a solution to this problem.  But as this debate apparently gets underway again, it's important to start with a few recognitions:

I think it's characteristic of Minnesotans to set unrealistic expectations when they argue over stadiums.  Think about the Twins' situation:  Everybody wanted Carl Pohlad to pony up for the stadium.  It eventually took an immediate threat of contraction to jolt everyone back to reality, and immediately to the conclusion that the Twins were a part of our community worth keeping and cherishing.

I also think it's also characteristic of Minnesotans to be overly-cavalier about their relationships to the sports teams in town.  (If I hear the term "Good riddance" one more time on a Strib comment board about the Vikings, I think I'm going to grow horns.)  But when the chips are down, the reality is that most Minnesotans care more deeply about the Vikings than they wish to say, not because they're beloved in the community, but because they bring money and development to this state, even as the second-least valuable franchise in the NFL.

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**As a brief aside, Wilf is offering to pay about 24 percent of the proposed Vikings stadium's estimated $800 cost.  So far as we know, NFL owners of teams who've moved into new stadiums in the last ten years have kicked in, on average, just under 30 percent of the stadium's costs.  A few years ago, Chicago's Soldier Field was renovated with 100% public funds.  Even the city of Arlington, Texas, raised taxes to help Jerry Jones pay for his football fortress for the Cowboys.  Wilf may be shooting a little low, but he's well within an appropriate range.

Posted via web from @kystokes